money

Crash Dash - Watching the AI Bubble Pop

Strategic Surveillance of Overextended Assets

Live Market Heat & Daily Summary

Note: We are tracking the correlation between the US AI giants and their South Korean hardware suppliers. If the memory-chip leaders (Samsung/SK Hynix) lead a downturn, the US software bubble is likely next.

AI Bubble Companies

Key Companies: NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), TSMC (NYSE:TSM), Samsung (FRA:XSDG), SK Hynix (FRA:HY9H), AMD (NASDAQ:AMD), Micron (NASDAQ:MU), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta (NASDAQ:META), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), Palantir (NASDAQ:PLTR).

Why we follow: These companies have had ridiculous growth over the last 2 years and account for the majority of AI technologies.

Crash Indicator: If we see a continued sharp downturn in price over 3-10 days with large volumes of people cashing out.

Global Infrastructure (Indexes)

Key Targets: NASDAQ 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ), S&P 500 (AMEX:SPY), ASX 200 (AMEX:EWA), MSCI South Korea (AMEX:EWY), FTSE 100 (BATS:EWU), Nikkei 225 (AMEX:EWJ).

Why we follow: Tracks broader institutional health across multiple jurisdictions to identify systemic risk.

Crash Indicator: If we see a continued sharp downturn in price over 3-10 days with large volumes of people cashing out.

Hedges & Currencies

Key Targets: Gold (TVC:GOLD), Silver (TVC:SILVER), Bitcoin (BINANCE:BTCUSDT), USD-EUR (FX_IDC:USDEUR), USD-AUD (FX_IDC:USDAUD), USD TWI (CAPITALCOM:DXY).

Why we follow: Gold/Silver are the bunker; FX tracks larger FX risk across multiple countries and which countries are looking weaker.

Crash Indicator: Rapid flight from risk assets into metals, or a sudden spike in the USD TWI (DXY) indicating a global dollar squeeze.

Create A Trading Account


Step 1: Go to Commsec and click ‘Join Now’

Step 2: Click ‘Open an Account’ and go through the prompts

Step 3: Open a CDIA (or trade with your bank – not recommended). You will need your your ID – See details below.

Step 4: Confirm details via email

Step 5: You’re ready to trade – however you’ll need to put some money in your trading account (CDIA).

So I have an account, now what?

I would recommend reading my next blog – which I haven’t written yet. Also familiarise yourself with my previous post – Beginners Guide to Investing (Shares, Crypto and Trading Cards and more) and How much money should I be investing?

Other Details

Caveat 1, each bank is slightly different, but generally the same. I use Australia’s largest retail bank – Commonwealth Bank of Australia, therefore will use Commsec as their trading platform.

Full disclosure, I am not advertising or sponsored by CBA.